On the latest episode of the Behind the Markets podcast, Jeremy Schwartz and Nitesh Shah spoke with Warren Pies, founder of 314 Research, about his views on the economy, commodities like gold and oil, and his quantitative modeling for the markets and asset allocation portfolios.
In the last two years, commodities have outperformed every major asset class by double-digit margins. Nitesh Shah and Jeremy Schwartz present a case for commodities as a source of diversification in a multi-asset portfolio.
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U.S. natural gas prices (Henry Hub Futures) have declined 51% in the past month, marking the worst 30-day performance on record. Nitesh Shah discusses the impact of these falling prices.
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Broad commodities have outperformed most major asset classes this year, but the pressure of rising interest rates, a strong U.S. dollar and recession fears have led to a recent pullback. Nevertheless, Nitesh Shah discusses how the energy transition- and infrastructure-led supercycle remains in play and is likely to drive future demand for commodities.
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The risk of central banks overdoing it could send gold soaring, especially if inflation remains high while economic growth is suffering. Nitesh Shah and Jeremy Schwartz discuss how a recession could impact silver and gold.
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As inflation continues to run hot, many investors are seeking ways to mitigate its impact on their portfolios. Jeremy Schwartz explains what makes commodities a “go-to” inflation hedge.
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