The U.S. dollar is one of the most hotly debated questions right now. It’s a macroeconomic factor that impacts returns of many asset classes, from emerging markets to U.S. large-cap multinationals. Inspired by recent research on a stronger dollar from economist Danielle Di Martino Booth, Jeremy Schwartz makes the case for currency hedging in international portfolios.
Although many investors remain focused on the potential impact of U.S. tax reform on corporate earnings, we believe any change in tax policy can have an equally important effect on the price and supply of corporate credit.
During a period of robust inflows and more positive sentiment, emerging markets (EM) have outperformed developed markets by a margin of 6% to 12% year-to-date. This is primarily a function of a rebound in earnings, higher asset prices and a rise in the value of EM currencies against the U.S. dollar. With many emerging equity markets up over 20% year-to-date, the logical question many investors are asking is, “Have I missed the rally?”