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At today’s FOMC meeting, the Fed implemented a 25 basis point rate hike, bringing the new Fed Funds trading range to 4.75%–5%. The question on everyone’s mind now is will the Fed continue on its rate hike mission, or will there be a pause or even a rate cut in the near future? Given this newfound level of uncertainty, Kevin Flanagan outlines how the Fed is trying to thread the needle.
Following the Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank failures, market volatility in arenas such as the U.S. Treasury market is residing at its highest level since 2008. Against this backdrop, Scott Welch, Kevin Flanagan and Andrew Okrongly take a deep dive into the volatility landscape and its impact on investors’ portfolios.
While inflation appears to have peaked last summer, unfortunately for the Fed, and by extension the bond market, the future road may not be as much of a one-way street to the downside as we saw during the autumn months. After reviewing the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, Kevin Flanagan explains why the Fed will continue to operate under the assumption it ‘has more work to do’ in fighting inflation.
For the first six weeks of 2023, volatility in the money and bond markets took center stage, with a full year’s rally occurring in only about one month’s timeframe. However, over the past two weeks, UST yields have completely reversed course. Kevin Flanagan discusses the dramatic shift in the market’s narrative.