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2024 U.S. Large-Cap Dividends Rebalance

Published December 19, 2024

Hyun Kang
Hyun Kang

Research Analyst

Key Takeaways

  • Despite the Federal Reserve’s “higher for longer” interest rate policy, growth stocks surged in 2024, with the Russell 1000 Growth Index outpacing its Value counterpart by nearly 10%.
  • We rebalanced the WisdomTree U.S. LargeCap Dividend and WisdomTree U.S. High Dividend Indexes in December, adjusting sector allocations to emphasize Health Care while reducing exposure to Information Technology.
  • Post-rebalance, both Indexes improved their fundamentals with higher returns on assets and equity, coupled with lower price-to-earnings ratios, signaling a focus on value and quality.

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Despite the Fed maintaining its "higher for longer" stance on interest rates, growth stocks showed no signs of slowing down in 2024, with the Russell 1000 Growth Index returning a staggering 32.2% over the Russell 1000 Value Index's 22.8%, as can be seen in figure 1.

Figure 1: Year-to-Date Performance, Growth vs. Value

figure-1.jpg

Sources: WisdomTree, Russell, 12/31/23–11/30/24. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You cannot invest directly in an index.

Figure 2 shows economist Robert Shiller's cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio over the last 20 years. With stock valuations again approaching the multi-decade highs seen during the pandemic, well over the historical median, finding value opportunities is as tricky as ever.

Figure 2: Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) Ratio

figure-2.jpg

Source: Online Data Robert Shiller, 1/1/1881–11/30/2024. Past performance is not indicative of future results. CAPE Ratio = a valuation measure of the S&P 500 Index that is adjusted for inflation and takes into account cyclical fluctuations in market earnings relative to longer-term averages.

Investors looking to position their portfolios for an eventual value resurgence may want to consider a dividend approach, hedging against inflation and emphasizing quality companies with sustainable dividends.

The WisdomTree U.S. LargeCap Dividend Index (WTLDI) and WisdomTree U.S. High Dividend Index (WTHYE) underwent their annual reconstitutions in December. These Indexes are tracked by:

Figure 3 shows the year-to-date performance of WTLDI and WTHYE compared to their common benchmark, the Russell 1000 Value Index, which both WisdomTree Indexes outperformed.

Figure 3: Year-to-Date Performance

figure-3.jpg

Sources: WisdomTree, Russell, 12/31/23–11/30/24. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You cannot invest directly in an index.

Earlier in the year, Meta Platforms Inc. (Meta) made headlines when it declared the initiation of its quarterly dividend payment and was shortly thereafter added to WTLDI. Since then, Meta is up 18.6% as of November 30, 2024.

The methodology followed by WisdomTree's U.S. Dividend Indexes allows for special rebalances to be performed in response to major market developments, such as Meta's dividend payment initiation, which prompted a special rebalance in March.

The recent regular annual rebalance saw other changes, including decreases in allocations to Information Technology and increases to Health Care for both Indexes, among others.

As seen in figures 4 and 5, DLN's Index saw significant additions to the Consumer Staples and Health Care sectors, while DHS's Index saw no significant weight increase to any individual sector.

Figure 4: Post-Rebalance Sectors, WisdomTree U.S. LargeCap Dividend Index (WTLDI)

figure-4.jpg

Sources: WisdomTree, FactSet, as of 11/30/24. You cannot invest directly in an index.

Figure 5: Post-Rebalance Sectors, WisdomTree U.S. High Dividend Index (WTHYE)

figure-5.jpg

Sources: WisdomTree, FactSet, as of 11/30/24. You cannot invest directly in an index.

Following the rebalance, as can be seen in Figure 6, both WTLDI and WTHYE saw improvements in their return on assets and return on equity, as well as lower price-to-earnings ratios.

Figure 6: Post-Rebalance Fundamentals

figure-6.jpg

Sources: WisdomTree, FactSet, as of 11/30/24. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You cannot invest directly in an index.

About the contributor

Hyun Kang
Hyun Kang

Research Analyst

Hyun Kang joined WisdomTree in July 2022 as a Research Analyst. As a part of the Index team, he assists with the creation and maintenance of the firm’s indexes and supports the group’s research initiatives across various strategies. Hyun graduated from Carnegie Mellon University, with a B.S. in Business Administration and an additional major in Statistics and Machine Learning.

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