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2026 Economic & Market Outlook: Investing in a 5% World
Kevin Flanagan
Rick Harper
Bradley Krom
Samuel Rines
Jeremy Schwartz, CFA
Kevin Flanagan, Rick Harper, Bradley Krom, Samuel Rines, Jeremy Schwartz, CFA

2026 Economic & Market Outlook: Investing in a 5% World

As the fourth quarter begins, resilient U.S. growth is meeting persistent inflation, higher energy prices and a recent Fed rate hike. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, investors are weighing what rising rates could mean for stocks, bonds and portfolio positioning. In our 2026 Economic & Market Outlook, Investing in a 5% World, we examine the forces shaping markets through year-end, from geopolitical risks and the path of inflation to opportunities across equities and fixed income.

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Outlooks
Gold Outlook to Q2 2027: A Healthy Reset Provides a Constructive Backdrop
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Nitesh Shah
Nitesh Shah

Gold Outlook to Q2 2027: A Healthy Reset Provides a Constructive Backdrop

Gold's healthy reset clears the air for a macro-driven outlook, as the valuation premium built during 2025–26 unwinds and prices return to fair value. With exceptional investor demand moderating and gold now trading closer to fundamental levels, future returns are likely to depend on inflation, interest rates and the US dollar rather than further investor enthusiasm.

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Market Insights
2026 Economic & Market Outlook: What the New 'Warsh' Cycle Means for Markets
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Kevin Flanagan
Rick Harper
Samuel Rines
Jeremy Schwartz, CFA
Jeff Weniger, CFA
Kevin Flanagan, Rick Harper, Samuel Rines, Jeremy Schwartz, CFA, Jeff Weniger, CFA

2026 Economic & Market Outlook: What the New 'Warsh' Cycle Means for Markets

As the second half of 2026 begins, investors are navigating resilient economic fundamentals, a new era of Federal Reserve leadership under Chair Kevin Warsh and markets that are shifting their focus from geopolitical headlines back to earnings, AI investment and monetary policy.

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Outlooks
The Role of Gold in a Portfolio
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Christopher Gannatti, CFA
Christopher Gannatti, CFA

The Role of Gold in a Portfolio

Gold is more than a traditional safe haven; it remains a strategic asset for enhancing portfolio resilience. Even measured allocations can strengthen diversification, offset stock–bond correlation risk, and improve risk-adjusted outcomes across traditional 60/40 and risk-budgeted portfolios—particularly in environments shaped by inflation uncertainty, fiscal expansion, and geopolitical stress.

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Market Insights
Gold Outlook to Q4 2026: Into Uncharted Territory
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Nitesh Shah
Nitesh Shah

Gold Outlook to Q4 2026: Into Uncharted Territory

Gold is pushing into uncharted territory after its strongest rally since 1979. Explore our latest Gold Outlook to see how fiscal dominance, trade fragmentation, and rising demand from central banks and new investor cohorts could fuel gold’s next leg higher.

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Market Insights
The Role of Bitcoin in a Portfolio
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Christopher Gannatti, CFA
Christopher Gannatti, CFA

The Role of Bitcoin in a Portfolio

Bitcoin is no longer a fringe asset; it’s increasingly recognized for its potential to improve portfolio efficiency. Even modest allocations can enhance diversification, reshape risk dynamics, and elevate risk-adjusted returns in traditional 60/40 and risk-budgeted portfolios.

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Market Insights