Commodities have been on a roll over the past few months, with strong and persistent trends emerging across several sectors. Performance, however, has been uneven beneath the surface.

Precious metals have led the rally over the past six months, significantly outperforming other commodity sectors. From late June through year-end 2025, the Bloomberg Precious Metals Subindex gained over 40%, driven by heightened geopolitical risks, strong central bank demand, and sustained investor appetite for safe-haven assets.

Industrial metals also delivered solid gains, rising around 10% over the same period, supported by structural demand from electrification, infrastructure spending, and supply constraints in key metals such as copper. In contrast, energy was the clear laggard, with the Bloomberg Energy Subindex down roughly 11% in the second half of 2025. Softer demand expectations, ample supply conditions, and persistent weakness in natural gas outweighed geopolitical risk premia that had previously supported prices. Going forward, our geopolitical outlook indicates to relatively limited upside for oil.

Overall, the dispersion across commodity sectors highlights the need for diversification while maintaining strategic and tactical tilts and harnessing the trends that exist in commodity markets.

WisdomTree's two differentiated offerings in commodities navigated complex commodity cycles using very different approaches. The WisdomTree Inflation Plus Fund (WTIP) delivered positive returns in every full month of its live history; likewise, the WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity Strategy Fund (GCC) posted positive returns in each month during the second half of last year. The two ETFs outperformed the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) by more than 6% during the period despite taking very different approaches.

Performance Comparison

The WisdomTree Inflation Plus Fund (WTIP)

WTIP is built on a simple but powerful objective: to provide a robust and comprehensive hedge against inflation. The strategy combines commodity exposure with U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). While TIPS are designed to hedge expected inflation and tend to respond with a lag, commodities have historically been effective at hedging unexpected inflation and often lead inflationary regimes. By combining these two asset classes, WTIP seeks to deliver a more complete and balanced inflation hedge.

Commodity markets are inherently cyclical, often experiencing extended uptrends followed by prolonged periods of mean reversion. To improve return consistency across these cycles, WTIP employs systematic, momentum-based models that evaluate each commodity relative to its own price history to determine whether to take a long or short position. To enhance robustness, two independent momentum signals—moving-average crossover and trend breadth—are used, with positions initiated only when both signals align in the same direction. Recognizing the structural role of precious metals in investor portfolios, gold and silver are maintained as permanent long exposures in fixed, equal proportions.

The strategy is further enhanced through the use of a maximum-carry contract selection process, investing in futures contracts with the highest implied carry rather than defaulting to front-month contracts. This approach seeks to capture roll returns that are often missed by traditional commodity benchmarks.

The commodity allocation within WTIP is structured as follows:

• 80% Momentum-Based Commodity Exposure
  • Sixteen commodity futures are assessed and assigned a long (+), short (–) or flat (0) signal
  • Total exposure is equally distributed across commodities with active long or short signals
  • For example, if 10 commodities generate a long or short signal, each position receives an 8% allocation
• Sixteen commodity futures are assessed and assigned a long (+), short (–) or flat (0) signal
• Total exposure is equally distributed across commodities with active long or short signals
• For example, if 10 commodities generate a long or short signal, each position receives an 8% allocation
• Structural Long Allocation to Precious Metals
  • 7.5% allocated to gold
  • 7.5% allocated to silver
• 7.5% allocated to gold
• 7.5% allocated to silver

In addition, 5% of the portfolio is allocated to bitcoin exposure, implemented through a momentum-driven model, reflecting its potential role as an alternative, inflation-sensitive asset.

So far, the strategy has successfully navigated the commodity markets and harnessed the trend to deliver positive returns in all six complete months since its launch (Jul 2025 to Dec 2025). By contrast, the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) was up in only four of the six months. Overall, WTIP (+14.42%) outperformed BCOM (+7.52%) by 6.91 percentage points during this period.

The WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity Strategy Fund (GCC)

The WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity Strategy Fund is a forward-looking, strategic commodity allocation designed to harness the historically low correlation of commodities with traditional asset classes, helping to enhance diversification within multi-asset portfolios.

Each year, WisdomTree's investment team, in collaboration with in-house commodity specialists, sets the fund's strategic commodity weights based on a long-term market outlook. This strategic allocation is complemented by a second layer of monthly rebalancing, which allows the portfolio to adapt to evolving market conditions through tactical tilts around the strategic weights.

The strategic framework seeks broad diversification while expressing conviction in the key structural themes shaping commodity markets. Currently, the portfolio is positioned around four core pillars:

• Underweight energy relative to major commodity benchmarks, reflecting the sector's higher volatility, its tendency to dominate overall portfolio risk, and the ongoing transition toward alternative energy sources.
• Overweight precious metals as a more defensive allocation and a potential inflation-sensitive diversifier.
• Overweight industrial metals to capture demand linked to electrification and other future-oriented technologies, including copper, aluminum, nickel and tin.
• Measured bitcoin exposure, with up to 10% allocated to ETPs that primarily hold bitcoin futures, recognizing its growing role as an alternative, non-traditional asset.

In addition, the fund employs an enhanced roll methodology, investing in futures contracts with the highest implied carry rather than defaulting to front-month contracts. By selectively investing further out on the futures curve, the strategy seeks to enhance returns while helping to reduce short-term volatility.

Overall, this approach has also delivered strong recent performance, with positive returns in each month of the second half of last year, outperforming BCOM by over 6% during the period.

Conclusion

WTIP and GCC represent two distinct yet complementary approaches to commodity investing, each designed to address different investor objectives.

WTIP is purpose-built as a comprehensive inflation hedge, combining the defensive properties of TIPS with the ability of commodities to respond to unexpected inflation. Its momentum-driven, long–short commodity framework, enhanced by dual trend signals, dynamic contract selection and structural allocations to precious metals and bitcoin, allows it to actively navigate commodity cycles and reduce/reverse the impact of prolonged drawdowns. The strategy's strong performance since launch highlights the benefits of an adaptive, rules-based approach in volatile inflationary environments.

GCC, in contrast, serves as a strategic, forward-looking commodity allocation. Through a combination of annually set strategic weights, monthly tactical rebalancing and an enhanced roll methodology, GCC seeks to capture long-term commodity themes while managing risk and volatility. Its emphasis on industrial metals, precious metals and reduced energy exposure reflects structural shifts such as electrification and energy transition, while maintaining the diversification benefits commodities offer.

In summary, WTIP is best suited for investors seeking an active inflation-focused solution aimed at harnessing trends in commodity markets and delivering consistent returns with lower risk, whereas GCC offers a strategic, diversified commodity exposure aligned with long-term thematic drivers. Together, they demonstrate how different portfolio objectives can be addressed through thoughtful and differentiated commodity strategy design.