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Europe's Reawakening: From Periphery Play to Policy Powerhouse

Published November 17, 2025

Christopher Gannatti, CFA
Christopher Gannatti, CFA

Global Head of Research

Key Takeaways

  • Europe’s fiscal expansion has evolved into a long-term rearmament and modernization cycle, driving capital investment in aerospace, energy and infrastructure.
  • The European Central Bank’s pivot to rate cuts and a positively sloped yield curve are fueling credit growth and supporting rate-sensitive sectors.
  • European equities now trade at a steep discount to U.S. markets, yet show improving margins, dividend growth and leadership grounded in fundamentals.

After a decade of muted growth and policy hesitation, Europe has reemerged as a dynamic force in global equity markets. Fiscal expansion, defense spending acceleration and monetary easing are converging to create, potentially, one of the most constructive European equity market backdrops in recent memory.1 The market's breadth, dividend strength and valuation support make it an increasingly strategic complement to U.S. equity exposure.

  • Defense spending and industrial renewal: Europe's post-pandemic fiscal expansion has evolved into a long-term rearmament and modernization cycle. Defense budgets are at multi-decade highs, catalyzing capital investment in aerospace, energy and digital infrastructure. The result is an industrial revival that underpins earnings durability and creates a new class of beneficiaries—Europe's capital goods and engineering champions.2
  • Monetary easing and financial tailwinds: The European Central Bank has turned decisively dovish, leading major developed-market peers with rate cuts aimed at stimulating lending and investment. A positively sloped yield curve and lower real rates have begun to revive credit demand, particularly in core banking and consumer finance. Europe's monetary policy now serves as a tailwind rather than a constraint, supporting earnings momentum in rate-sensitive sectors.3
  • Market performance and valuation strength: European equities have quietly delivered strong, broad-based returns, outpacing expectations as earnings revisions turn positive. The MSCI EMU Index now trades at a significant discount to the U.S. equity market on multiple valuation metrics, despite expanding profit margins and rising dividend payouts. Leadership is increasingly rooted in fundamentals—steady earnings, disciplined capital allocation and policy alignment—rather than multiple expansion.4

As we see in figure 1, European equities are showing clear momentum relative to U.S. markets. The MSCI EMU Index has delivered a 33.6% year-to-date gain, roughly double the S&P 500's 16.8%, marking a decisive shift in performance leadership. Over the past one and three years, Europe has also closed the return gap, supported by accelerating earnings revisions, monetary easing and fiscal tailwinds. This performance resurgence reflects more than short-term relief—it signals a durable recovery driven by industrial reinvestment, rising defense spending and strong dividend growth. After years of lagging the U.S., Europe's equity story is now one of cyclical strength reinforced by structural transformation.

Figure 1: European Equities Are Showing Clear Momentum Relative to U.S. Markets

figure-1.jpg

Sources: WisdomTree, FactSet, Morningstar, with data as of 11/5/25. You cannot invest directly in an index.

As seen in figure 2, European equities trade at a steep valuation discount to the U.S. The MSCI EMU Index commands just 15.7 times forward earnings versus 23.8 times for the S&P 500, with similarly lower ratios across cash flow, book value and sales. This wide gap highlights Europe's compelling relative value amid improving fundamentals and accelerating earnings momentum.

Figure 2: European Equities Offer Compelling Relative Value vs. U.S. Markets

figure-2.jpg

Sources: WisdomTree, FactSet, Morningstar, with data accessed as of 11/5/25, based on index constituents as of 9/30/25. For definitions of terms in the chart above, please visit the glossary. You cannot invest directly in an index.

Conclusion: Europe's Comeback Is Built on Substance

Europe's story is no longer about survival—it's about competitive renewal. Fiscal stimulus, monetary normalization and industrial reinvestment have combined to reset the region's growth potential. For investors seeking cyclical leverage with structural support, Europe offers both value and velocity.

For those looking to express this view:

1 Sources: A. García-Serrador et al., "Europe | EU Priorities: Defence Spending & Multipliers," BBVA Research, 9/16/25; "Combined Monetary Policy Decisions and Statement," European Central Bank, 10/30/25.

2 Sources: "A Different Lens on Europe's Defence Budgets," McKinsey & Company, 2/12/25; "Time to Be Strategic: How Public Money Could Power Europe's Green, Digital and Defence Transitions," European Central Bank, 7/25/25.

3 Sources: R. Daugherty, "Why the Smart Money Is Moving to Europe – The Yield Curve Is Telling Us to Buy," Forbes, 6/11/25; S. Soubeyran, "Fixed Income Insights: Europe," London Stock Exchange Group, June 2025.

4 Source: Bloomberg, with data covering the 2025 year through 11/5/25.

Important Risks Related to this Article

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About the contributor

Christopher Gannatti, CFA
Christopher Gannatti, CFA

Global Head of Research

Christopher Gannatti began at WisdomTree as a Research Analyst in December 2010, working directly with Jeremy Schwartz, CFA®, Director of Research. In January of 2014, he was promoted to Associate Director of Research where he was responsible to lead different groups of analysts and strategists within the broader Research team at WisdomTree. In February of 2018, Christopher was promoted to Head of Research, Europe, where he was based out of WisdomTree’s London office and was responsible for the full WisdomTree research effort within the European market, as well as supporting the UCITs platform globally. In November 2021, Christopher was promoted to Global Head of Research, now responsible for numerous communications on investment strategy globally, particularly in the thematic equity space. Christopher came to WisdomTree from Lord Abbett, where he worked for four and a half years as a Regional Consultant. He received his MBA in Quantitative Finance, Accounting, and Economics from NYU’s Stern School of Business in 2010, and he received his bachelor’s degree from Colgate University in Economics in 2006. Christopher is a holder of the Chartered Financial Analyst Designation.

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