What Is Beta When It Comes to Dividends?

dividends
siracusanoiii
Chief Investment Strategist
09/14/2016

What makes the WisdomTree Total Dividend Fund (DTD) special? It could be that DTD tracks the broadest barometer of dividend-paying stocks in the United States—the WisdomTree Dividend Index (WTDI) —and therefore comes as close as any one dividend fund does to representing “beta” for the dividend-paying part of the U.S. stock market. With so many specialized exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and mutual funds seeking to provide investors exposure to dividend-paying stocks, picking any one to represent the entire dividend-paying universe in the U.S. is no easy task. Short of calculating the returns from all of these funds and coming up with an average, perhaps a simple way to keep track of how U.S. dividend-paying stocks are doing is to quote the returns of an index that, in effect, measures the performance of virtually all investable U.S. companies that pay regular cash dividends.1 One that does so is the WisdomTree Dividend Index, which includes nearly 1,400 dividend-paying common stocks and real estate investment trusts (REITs) with a combined market capitalization of approximately $18 trillion as of September 2016. The same logic that applies to index-based investing applies to dividend-based investing. If you can limit stock selection risk and get the market’s return at low cost,2 the odds are against actively managed strategies beating you in aggregate, particularly if they charge higher fees and incur more transaction costs in the process. ETFs or mutual funds that select only a subset of the dividend payers, in effect, compel investors to make an “active bet,” which may lead to underperformance against the broader universe. If you are using a mutual fund, high management fees may also eat into the dividend distributions that would otherwise go to investors. And because mutual funds often need to keep cash on hand to meet redemptions, such dividend-based strategies may have difficulty capturing 100% of the market’s upside during sustained rallies. Now that DTD has a 10-year track record, it is easy to compare how this broad, dividend-based ETF has done versus the universe of active managers and ETFs that Morningstar typically groups within the large-cap value category. For standardized performance of DTD, click here.   Percent of Peers Beaten Read more about common differences between ETFs and mutual funds. Of 787 competitors in the category with a track record going back 10 years, DTD beat 84% of them over the last decade. Over the last three- and five-year periods, DTD beat 95% of the more than 1,000 competing large-cap value funds, simply by tracking an index that includes all the dividend payers in the U.S. weighted based on the dividends they pay. Normally, if an index provides the broadest exposure to an asset class, it has a good chance to qualify as the “beta” for the category. If WisdomTree had weighted index components by their market value and created a traditional cap-weighted index, WTDI could well have become the benchmark against which equity income ETFs and actively managed dividend funds are typically compared. However, the research WisdomTree did prior to launching the Index more than a decade ago indicated that had we weighted components by market value, we would have added volatility to the Index, reduced the starting dividend yield and possibly reduced future return potential. So we chose to rebalance the Index annually and set weights based on the regular cash dividends that companies pay. Risk and return data from the last 10 years confirms that we made the right decision.   Index Stats For definitions of terms and indexes in the chart, visit our glossary. As we can see from the table above, since its inception back in 2006, the WisdomTree Dividend Index has been able to generate higher risk-adjusted returns, measured by the Sharpe ratio, than the Russell 3000 Index in each of the periods displayed. Total returns for the WisdomTree Dividend Index were higher for most of these periods, while the standard deviation of WTDI’s returns came in lower across all of the time periods displayed. What’s also interesting is how well all the dividend stocks in aggregate performed against a specialty index that selects components based upon a company’s history of raising dividends over time. The NASDAQ US Dividend Achievers Select Index, which serves as the underlying index for the ETF industry’s largest dividend ETF as measured by assets under management, curiously enough has underperformed the WisdomTree Dividend Index not just in 2016, but for the last one-, three-, five- and seven-year periods. Put another way, the NASDAQ index, which includes only companies that have raised their dividends over time, has underperformed an index that simply included all the dividend payers for every annualized period going back seven years, through July 31, 2016. The NASDAQ strategy, which was under-weight in the Financials sector going into the financial crisis, was rewarded for that active bet against the broader market, and therefore generated the best returns over the entire 10-year period. But the benefit of that bet has dissipated over time, as the NASDAQ index has underperformed both the Russell 3000 Index and the WisdomTree Dividend Index over the last three-, five and seven-year periods, on an annualized basis.   Conclusion It is true that the dividend-paying segment of the U.S. market is a subset of the U.S. equity market. So any broad-based index that selects only dividend-paying stocks will make an “active bet” relative to the overall U.S. stock market by excluding the non-dividend payers. On the other hand, about 87% of the weight in the S&P 500 Index is currently in dividend-paying stocks. And the aggregate market capitalization of the approximately 1,400 companies that do pay dividends in the U.S. typically comprise about 75% to 80% of the weight of the Russell 3000. Owning the dividend-paying segment of the U.S. market has consistently generated higher risk-adjusted returns than owning market cap-weighted. And DTD, which provides investors access to this strategy in a lower-fee ETF, has been able to beat the vast majority of actively managed funds and competitor ETFs over the last decade.         1The WisdomTree Dividend Index measures the performance of U.S. companies listed on the NYSE, AMEX or NASDAQ Global Market that pay regular cash dividends and that meet other liquidity and capitalization requirements established by WisdomTree. 2Ordinary brokerage commissions apply.

Important Risks Related to this Article

There are risks associated with investing, including possible loss of principal. Funds focusing their investments on certain sectors increase their vulnerability to any single economic or regulatory development. This may result in greater share price volatility. Please read the Fund’s prospectus for specific details regarding the Fund’s risk profile.

Dividends are not guaranteed, and a company currently paying dividends may cease paying dividends at any time.

 

 

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About the Contributor
siracusanoiii
Chief Investment Strategist
Luciano Siracusano is WisdomTree’s Chief Investment Strategist. He is the co-creator, with CEO Jonathan Steinberg, of WisdomTree’s patented Indexing methodology. Mr. Siracusano led WisdomTree’s sales organization from October 2008 until June of 2015, while also serving as the firm’s Chief Investment Strategist. Luciano stepped down as WisdomTree’s Head of Sales in 2015 to focus full time on his duties as Chief Investment Strategist. From 2001 until October 2008, Luciano was WisdomTree’s Director of Research and was responsible for the creation and development of WisdomTree’s proprietary stock indexes. Luciano is a regular guest on CNBC and FOX Business, and speaks and writes frequently on ETFs, indexing and global financial markets. A former equity analyst at Value Line, Luciano began his career as a speechwriter for former New York Governor Mario Cuomo and HUD Secretary Henry Cisneros. He graduated from Columbia University with a B.A. in Political Science in 1987.