WisdomTree
fixedincome_2.jpg

Fed Watch: Maximum Overdrive

Published March 4, 2020

Kevin Flanagan
Kevin Flanagan

Head of Investment and Fixed Income Strategy

Well, the Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered a 50 basis points (bps) cut in the Federal Funds Rate yesterday in an inter-meeting move, the first such action since the 2008 financial crisis. This brings the new target range down to 1%–1.25%. The key questions are: Why the emergency move, and will it really move the needle?

First, why? Obviously, the Fed felt the need to act now instead of waiting to see how the economy will respond to a potentially worsening scenario from the COVID-19 virus. The U.S. economy was in solid shape to begin with, a fact the Fed acknowledged as well, so that’s the good news. Growth will more than likely take a hit, but in our base case scenario, we still see any potential negative impact as being transitory.

One could certainly make the case that the Fed was reacting to the financial markets. A “market-led Fed” is usually not the preferred course of action for monetary policy. Did the Fed panic? I don’t want to be too harsh in my assessment, but sometimes perceptions beat reality. The initial responses seem to underscore the markets’ insatiable appetite for more. The verdict will be out on this for a while.

Obviously, rate cuts tend to be growth supportive, but this is not your typical economic scenario. We could argue all day as to whether this development will move the needle, so let’s just take this rate cut and put it “in the bank.” In other words, it should help financial conditions and the funding markets. And let’s not forget the recent plunge in Treasury yields. I don’t know how many times I’ve been asked, “Should I refinance my mortgage?” over the last week.

Is there more to come? The Fed seems to be on a mission, so an additional cut would appear to be on the table, depending how developments play out.

As the guy on the New Jersey boardwalk used to say: Keep your hands and feet inside the vehicle at all times.

About the contributor

Kevin Flanagan
Kevin Flanagan

Head of Investment and Fixed Income Strategy

Kevin serves as the Head of Investment and Fixed Income Strategy. In this role, he writes macro and fixed income-related content and works closely with the sales, research and marketing teams. In addition, Kevin conducts client-facing webinars and meetings, providing expertise on WisdomTree’s existing and future bond ETFs. Prior to joining WisdomTree, Kevin spent 30 years at Morgan Stanley, where he was Managing Director and Chief Fixed Income Strategist for Wealth Management. He was responsible for tactical and strategic recommendations and created asset allocation models for fixed income securities. He was a contributor to the Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Global Investment Committee, primary author of Morgan Stanley Wealth Management’s monthly and weekly fixed income publications, and collaborated with the firm’s Research and Consulting Group Divisions to build ETF and fund manager asset allocation models. Kevin has an MBA from Pace University’s Lubin Graduate School of Business, and a B.S. in Finance from Fairfield University.

GO PAPERLESS

Contact your broker to sign up for eDelivery of WisdomTree ETF documents.

Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the Funds before investing. U.S. investors only: To obtain a prospectus containing this and other important information, please call 866.909.9473, or click here to view or download a prospectus online. Read the prospectus carefully before you invest. There are risks involved with investing, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

You cannot invest directly in an index.

Foreign investing involves currency, political and economic risk. Funds focusing on a single country, sector and/or funds that emphasize investments in smaller companies may experience greater price volatility. Investments in emerging markets, real estate, currency, fixed income and alternative investments include additional risks. Due to the investment strategy of certain Funds, they may make higher capital gain distributions than other ETFs. Please see prospectus for discussion of risks.

WisdomTree Funds are distributed by Foreside Fund Services, LLC, in the U.S.

© 2026 WisdomTree, Inc. All Rights Reserved.