2026 Economic & Market Outlook
Weighing the Impact of the Middle East War
As the second quarter unfolds, investors are navigating a market shaped by resilient U.S. growth, a Federal Reserve in a patient holding pattern and a geopolitical backdrop newly defined by the Middle East war and its impact on energy prices. In our Economic & Market Outlook: Weighing the Impact of the Middle East War, we explore how a “no-hire, no-fire” labor market continues to anchor the expansion, why elevated energy-driven inflation complicates the Fed’s path and how a widening range of macro and geopolitical outcomes is raising the importance of balance and quality across portfolios.






