INSIGHTS & STRATEGIES

WisdomTree Blog

What a difference a month makes in bond-land. Just when investors thought U.S. Treasury yields were on the verge of moving even lower, a rather visible sell-off ensued. Kevin Flanagan discusses what could have caused such a shift in sentiment.

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With yield curves inverting, trade wars heating up, data on manufacturing softening and the ultimate Federal Reserve change in monetary policy resulting in three rate cuts all occurring simultaneously, it was hard not to succumb to recession fears. The good news is that it looks like the worst of the recession fears may have passed.

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As widely expected, the Federal Reserve once again voted to cut rates at its October FOMC meeting, the third time in 2019. The question that now comes to mind is whether the third time’s a charm.

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Without much fanfare, an interesting development has occurred in the bond market in October: the Treasury yield curve “un-inverted.” Does this flash the all-clear signal for the U.S. economy?

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Throughout most of 2019, inflation has had no reason to grab the headlines, but should investors be concerned about whether the price is right? Kevin Flanagan discusses.

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Before the release of last week’s jobs report, investors were inundated with headlines seemingly suggesting that it wasn’t a matter of “if” but “when” the U.S. economy would enter into a recession. However, there are some economic numbers that imply there is no clear and present danger of a contraction.
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