INSIGHTS & STRATEGIES

WisdomTree Blog

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s Japan is a forward-looking, pragmatic bastion of stability in an increasingly uncertain world. The recent cabinet reshuffle cements the unique position that Japanese politics and policymaking occupies relative to most other democratically elected governments.

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Japanese Prime Minister Shinzō Abe and his ruling coalition won a very comfortable majority, but fell short of gaining the two-thirds supermajority required for fast-track constitutional reform in Sunday’s Upper House election. Jesper Koll outlines the key signposts and challenges immediately ahead for Japan.

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Japan’s gross domestic product report from last week was stronger than expected, up 2.1% quarter over quarter and annualized, against expectations for a small decline. Jesper Koll discusses the Japan equity investment implications amid the macroeconomic and political environments.

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President Trump’s upcoming visit to Japan at the end of the month is very likely to bring a successful resolution of a U.S.-Japan bilateral trade agreement. If we get similar positive news from the U.S.-China trade front, Japan in general and exporters in particular are likely to outperform. Jesper Koll elaborates.

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2019 is likely to be a good year for Japan. However, there are some outlier scenarios investors may worry about. Improbable as they may seem, any movement toward their far-out direction will force a true about-face in the current consensus. Jesper Koll outlines 10 potential surprises for Japan in 2019.

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The key issue for Japan’s 2019 outlook is not the hike in the consumption tax coming October 1 but the determination of Team Abe to present a new, urgent and credible structural reform agenda. Herein lies the key to unlock Japanese markets out of the current value trap consensus.

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