China is at the center of global market fears. A core concern is that China is slowing down its growth rate or transitioning from an infrastructure- and investment-led economy to more of a consumption-led and services-oriented economy.
FTSE China 50 Index
China’s markets are down precipitously since last April, judging by the FTSE China 50 Index, which is down about 39% since April 30.1
Currently, the largest sector exposure in the FTSE China 50 Index is Financials at 51.6%. This includes many state-run banks, which make up three of the top five holdings.2
While many investors might like the valuations
on these stocks (such as the low price-to-earnings ratios [P/E]
and high dividend yields
), we don’t consider these to be part of the longer-run growth opportunity set of China.
Gauging the 39% Decline of China’s Equities
WisdomTree Launched a New Benchmark for China: Removing State-Owned Enterprises
Investors who believe that fears regarding China’s economic transition are overdone and that China could successfully navigate the rotation into a consumer-driven economy may be considering the best vehicle to position for this.
The popular benchmarks have nearly two-thirds of their exposure in large state banks or energy companies. These are not the firms we see representing the real consumer growth opportunity in China going forward.
Interestingly, when looking at the China opportunity set outside of the state-run enterprises, a more interesting allocation emerges: Approximately two-thirds of the exposure is to China tech and Internet companies or Consumer Discretionary companies.
Sector & Top 10 Company Exposures of the WisdomTree China ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index as of 2/22/16
It has been a challenging market for any China strategy, but we believe state-owned enterprises are leading the market down. Removing the state-owned firms per WisdomTree criteria has provided a source of relative outperformance during this downdraft, but more importantly, we think it could also represent a better long-term opportunity set.
Relative Outperformance of WisdomTree China ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index
Tax Loss Harvesting during Downdrafts
We believe investors should not just think about tax planning near the year-end. Anytime there are significant pullbacks in the market, there is an opportunity to rotate into strategies that may offer better exposure to the asset class.
We think the ex-state-owned enterprises version of China represents a meaningful improvement in exposure to China. This could be good timing for the opportunity to tactically book a loss while rotating into this strategy.
The WisdomTree China ex-State-Owned Enterprises Fund (CXSE)
is built to track the performance of the WisdomTree China ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index before fees.
Source: Bloomberg. Period from 4/27/15 to 2/23/16.
Source: Bloomberg, as of 2/23/16.