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Improving on the 60/40 adding diversifiers without divesting from equities

Published 12 May 2025

Pierre Debru
Pierre Debru

Head of Research, WisdomTree Europe.

Elvira Kuramshina
Elvira Kuramshina

Associate Director, Quantitative Research

Key Takeaways

The 60/40 portfolio—60% equities, 40% fixed income—has long been a staple of balanced investing. While it tends to improve the risk-return profile due to diversification between the two assets, it also limits growth potential as the overall risk taken is reduced. Furthermore, in today’s markets, it limits the ability to incorporate diversifying assets like commodities or alternatives without displacing equities or bonds. The consequence? Investors may miss out on valuable risk management tools or potential return enhancers.

Fortunately, WisdomTree has developed a unique range of Efficient Core exchanged-traded funds (ETFs) that offer a more elegant solution. By allocating 90% to stocks for growth and 60% to bond futures for balance (in other words, a 60/40 leveraged by 150%), an Efficient Core strategy provides traditional market exposure while freeing up space in portfolios. This capital efficiency unlocks the ability to add diversifiers, without sacrificing core equity exposure.

Rethinking the 60/40

The original appeal of the 60/40 portfolio lies in its simplicity: equities for growth, bonds for balance. Yet, this construction doesn’t leave any room for diversifiers. Consider an investor who wants to incorporate broad commodities and gold for added diversification. Doing so under a traditional 60/40 model forces a reallocation: replacing 15% of equities with commodities and 5% of fixed income with gold. While this improves portfolio efficiency by reducing volatility and drawdowns, it also lowers the overall risk budget—resulting in little to no improvement in returns.

Figure 1: Variations on the 60/40 including diversifiers

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Source: WisdomTree. Illustrative Only.

Efficient Core changes this equation. By utilising the WisdomTree Global Efficient Core (that is, a 60/40 leveraged portfolio providing 90% exposure to global equities and 60% exposure to government bond futures contracts across multiple currencies), the strategy replicates a 60/40 portfolio using only part of the capital. The portfolio invests 40% in the Efficient Core portfolio, leading to exposures of 36% and 24% in equity and fixed income respectively. This means that by investing 24% in equities and 16% in fixed income, the investor can construct a 60/40 portfolio. However, they would have done so utilising only 80% of their capital (40+24+16), leaving 20% to invest in assets such as commodities and gold.

Figure 2: Performance of different variations on the 60/40 including diversifiers

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Source: WisdomTree, Bloomberg. From 29 January 1999 to 12 March 2025. In USD. Portfolios are rebalanced quarterly. You cannot invest in an index. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance, and any investments may go down in value.

WisdomTree Illustrative 60/40 Model Portfolio

WisdomTree Illustrative 60/40 and Commodities Model Portfolio

WisdomTree Illustrative Efficient Core Model Portfolio

Cumulative Returns

386.39%

387.76%

459.77%

Annualised Returns

5.31%

5.32%

6.01%

Annualised Volatility

10.16%

9.18%

11.53%

Sharpe Ratio

0.33

0.37

0.35

Max Drawdown

-39.0%

-36.9%

-44.2%

Tracking Error (vs 60/40)

3.06%

3.06%

Information Ratio (vs 60/40)

0.00

0.23

This approach doesn’t just preserve equity exposure—it enhances the risk-return profile. Over the period from January 1999 to March 2025, a model portfolio using Efficient Core outperformed both the classic 60/40 and a version with commodities/gold by 0.7% annually. While volatility was slightly higher, the Sharpe ratio improved, and capital efficiency enabled the inclusion of assets with low correlation to equities and bonds.

Forward-looking frontier: a smarter portfolio set

To test Efficient Core’s relevance in the future, we use J.P. Morgan’s 2025 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions (LTCMA), the report is available here, to construct efficient frontiers for portfolios built from US equities, US bonds, broad commodities, and gold—with and without Efficient Core.

Figure 3: Forward-looking efficient frontiers (a) and the WisdomTree Illustrative Model Portfolios (b)

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Source: WisdomTree, Bloomberg, J.P. Morgan. Forward-looking efficient frontiers are constructed based on the US dollar assumptions for arithmetic returns, volatility and correlations provided in the “2025 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions” from J.P. Morgan available here. Efficient Core return, volatility and correlations are computed assuming 90% allocation to US Large Cap Equities, 60% allocation to US Aggregate Bonds funded by 50% Cash borrowing. You cannot invest in an index. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance, and any investments may go down in value.

Return

Volatility

Sharpe

Equity portfolio

7.91%

16.26%

0.30

Portfolio matching equity return

7.91%

13.65%

0.35

60/40 Portfolio

6.63%

10.37%

0.34

Portfolio matching 60/40 return

6.63%

9.26%

0.38

Portfolio matching 60/40 volatility

6.96%

10.37%

0.37

Multi-asset portfolio

6.27%

9.52%

0.33

Portfolio matching multi-asset return

6.27%

8.03%

0.39

Portfolio matching multi-asset volatility

6.73%

9.52%

0.38

The findings are clear: portfolios that include Efficient Core significantly expand the efficient frontier in forward-looking scenarios. Looking at three specific portfolios, the results are striking:

  • All-Equity Portfolio
    • Replacing a traditional 100% equity allocation with 85% Efficient Core, 3% bonds, and 12% gold reduces volatility by 2.6% for the same expected return.
  • 60/40 Portfolio
    • A mix of 51% Efficient Core, 41% bonds, and 8% gold delivers the same 6.63% return, but with 1.17% less volatility.
    • A mix of 60.5% Efficient Core, 32% bonds, and 7.5% gold delivers the same volatility but outperforms by 0.35% per year.
  • Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolio (45% equities, 35% bonds, 15% commodities and 5% gold1)
    • A mix of 41.9% Efficient Core, 53.5% bonds, and 4.6% gold delivers the same 6.27% return, but with 1.49% less volatility.
    • Reallocating to 53.8% Efficient Core, 39.2% bonds, and 7% gold improves expected return by 0.46% for the same risk level.
  • Replacing a traditional 100% equity allocation with 85% Efficient Core, 3% bonds, and 12% gold reduces volatility by 2.6% for the same expected return.
  • A mix of 51% Efficient Core, 41% bonds, and 8% gold delivers the same 6.63% return, but with 1.17% less volatility.
  • A mix of 60.5% Efficient Core, 32% bonds, and 7.5% gold delivers the same volatility but outperforms by 0.35% per year.
  • A mix of 41.9% Efficient Core, 53.5% bonds, and 4.6% gold delivers the same 6.27% return, but with 1.49% less volatility.
  • Reallocating to 53.8% Efficient Core, 39.2% bonds, and 7% gold improves expected return by 0.46% for the same risk level.

These enhancements stem not just from leverage, but from improved portfolio construction and the flexibility to include low-correlation assets.

Figure 4: WisdomTree Illustrative Model Portfolios vs efficient portfolios with matching return or volatility on the forward-looking efficient frontier that includes Efficient Core

12,-d-,05-ec-4.png

Source: WisdomTree, Bloomberg, J.P. Morgan. Forward-looking efficient frontiers are constructed based on the US dollar assumptions for arithmetic returns, volatility and correlations provided in the “2025 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions” from J.P. Morgan available here. Efficient Core return, volatility and correlations are computed assuming 90% allocation to US Large Cap Equities, 60% allocation to US Aggregate Bonds funded by 50% Cash borrowing. You cannot invest in an index. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance, and any investments may go down in value.

Conclusion

Efficient Core serves two critical purposes in portfolio design:

  • Equity replacement: by offering equity-like returns with improved efficiency, it becomes a powerful substitute for traditional equity allocations—particularly for investors seeking enhanced risk-adjusted returns.
  • Capital efficiency: it frees up portfolio real estate for diversifiers without compromising exposure to core growth assets. This is especially valuable in a world where macroeconomic volatility and inflation uncertainty heighten the need for robust risk management.

1 In our analysis, this multi-asset portfolio is not located on the efficient frontier and historically has offered only minimal improvement of risk/return ratio in comparison to an efficient portfolio located on the frontier that allocates to equities and bonds only. This is mostly on part of an equity-like level of volatility of commodities, but only a bond-like level of return averaged over the last 26 years.

About the contributors

Pierre Debru
Pierre Debru

Head of Research, WisdomTree Europe.

Pierre Debru leads WisdomTree’s European research team and plays a pivotal role in the strategic direction of our European research efforts. His key areas of expertise extend across equity factors and quantitative strategies, portfolio construction and model portfolios, and thematic and crypto investments. Before joining the company in 2019, Pierre worked in Investment Research for DWS and the Xtrackers range for over five years. During this period, he focused on smart beta investments, model portfolio construction and thought leadership. Pierre has over 20 years of experience in investments and structured asset management. He graduated from Ecole Central Paris and obtained a Master of Science in Mathematics applied to Finance.

Elvira Kuramshina
Elvira Kuramshina

Associate Director, Quantitative Research

Elvira has been a member of the WisdomTree Research team since September 2018. With over nine years of experience in the ETF and asset management industry and an academic background in quantitative finance, Elvira combines technical expertise with thematic strategy insights to contribute to thought leadership research and the development of new innovative strategies at WisdomTree. As a lead specialist in thematic strategies, she supports the periodic review and rebalancing of thematic portfolios, delivers quantitative insights, bespoke analysis for clients, strategic thought pieces as well as commentary on market trends and thematic strategies. She also develops comprehensive product collateral designed to support client needs.

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